Both the Milwaukee Bucks and Golden State Warriors find themselves in a position to close their series out with Game 6 wins at home on Friday. How they got to this position couldn’t have been more different.
Milwaukee, fresh off of a Game 4 giveaway in which the Celtics’ Al Horford dropped a 30 piece, stared a 3-2 hole in the eyes as they trailed in Game 5 by 14 during the fourth quarter. Then, Giannis dripped blood and took over (with help from others) to steal it right back from Boston.
The Warriors went into FedExForum with a chance to close the series in five, but proceeded to get absolutely embarrassed by the Ja Morant-less Grizzlies.
How will each team follow its Game 5 performance? We take a look at different player props that could shape Game 6.
All odds via Tipico Sportsbook.
Wesley Matthews - Over 1.5 Threes (+105)
Wesley Matthews is like a smaller PJ Tucker. He guards the ball well, is incredibly physical and is an adequate shooter from beyond the arc. He’s done an excellent job defending Jayson Tatum thus far, helping reduce the 6’8″ All-Star forward to 24.8 points on 39.1/ 30.4/ 77.4 shooting splits.
Matthews’ production on the defensive end has kept him on the court for at least 29 minutes in every game this series. And more minutes means more attempts from three on the other end, where 19 of his 28 shots have come from. If Wes can get around five threes up, I’d bet on him to make two or more.
Draymond Green - Over 6.5 Assists (-140)
To put it nicely, Draymond Green has had an unimpactful series vs. the Memphis Grizzlies. The flagrant foul and ejection started things off on the wrong foot. But in terms of on-court production, here are his stats:
Game 1 – 6 points, 4 rebounds, 3 assists, 0 blocks, 3 steals
Game 2 – 6 points, 10 rebounds, 7 assists, 1 block, 0 steals
Game 3 – 5 points, 5 rebounds, 8 assists, 1 block, 0 steals
Game 4 – 2 points, 11 rebounds, 5 assists, 1 block, 0 steals
Game 5 – 5 points, 7 rebounds, 5 assists, 1 block, 0 steals
His inability to score, or hardly even look at the basket, has been glaring. But if his teammates make shots as he play-makes, the shortcomings as a scorer become less noticeable. Although Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson have struggled throughout the series, I think they make shots today, thus leading to Draymond racking up the assists. Take the over on his 6.5-assist prop.
Jrue Holiday - Over 20.5 Points (-115)
Jrue Holiday has been at the center of some of the biggest and most iconic defensive plays in recent NBA playoff memory. Obviously, the steal on Devin Booker that led to the Giannis alley-oop in Game 5 of last season’s NBA Finals is memorable. And the block and then game-sealing steal on Marcus Smart in Game 5 a couple of days ago.
All of his defensive stardom and the continuous winning plays have covered up his sometimes inefficient basketball at the other end of the court. Holiday is shooting just 34.5 percent from the field in this series but his 23.2 attempts per game have led him to an average of 21.8 points. Without Khris Middleton, Holiday is the second scoring option and he’ll continue to take as many shots as necessary to aid Giannis and the Bucks’ offense.